






ACUS11 KWNS 162037
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162037
NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-162130-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1849
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0437 PM EDT THU SEP 16 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN MD....SERN PA...MUCH OF NJ...NRN DE
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 162037Z - 162130Z
ISOLATED STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP FROM
NERN MD INTO CNTRL NJ OVER THE NEXT FEW HRS. A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED
DUE TO THE EXPECTED ISOLATED NATURE OF THE SEVERE THREAT...BUT
CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.
RECENT RADAR/SATELLITE TRENDS INDICATE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
DEVELOPED ALONG A WEAK SFC WAVE/CONFLUENCE ZONE...EXTENDING FROM A
DEEPENING SFC LOW OVER CNTRL NJ. INSTABILITY HAS BECOME MAXIMIZED
AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE ACROSS THE SRN HALF OF NJ...WHERE OBJECTIVE
ANALYSIS FIELDS INDICATE MLCAPE OF 1500-2000 J/KG. INCREASING NEARLY
UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP-LAYER FLOW AHEAD OF AN UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH
HAS RESULTED IN EFFECTIVE SHEAR VALUES AROUND 30 KTS...SUPPORTIVE OF
MULTICELLULAR LINE SEGMENTS...ALTHOUGH OCCASIONAL EMBEDDED
SUPERCELLULAR STRUCTURES MAY OCCASIONALLY BE OBSERVED. GIVEN THE
EXPECTED CONVECTIVE MODE...THE PRIMARY THREAT ASSOCIATED WITH THESE
STORMS WILL LIKELY BE STRONG GUSTY WINDS. HOWEVER...THE POTENTIAL
FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO MAY STILL EXIST...PARTICULARLY WHERE LOCALLY
BACKED SFC WINDS MAY ENHANCE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF
THE APPROACHING SFC WAVE.
..ROGERS.. 09/16/2010
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI...
LAT...LON 39637422 39167470 38887535 39017583 39577574 40517491
40807468 40787425 40597390 39637422
WWWW
WFUS51 KOKX 162120
TOROKX
NYC085-162145-
/O.NEW.KOKX.TO.W.0009.100916T2120Z-100916T2145Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
520 PM EDT THU SEP 16 2010
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
* UNTIL 545 PM EDT...
* AT 519 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR
TOTTENVILLE...OR NEAR PERTH AMBOY...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
HUGUENOT BY 525 PM...
OAKWOOD AND TODT HILL BY 530 PM...
VERRAZANO-NARROWS BRIDGE AND TOMPKINSVILLE BY 535 PM...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW! IF YOU WAIT
TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
&&
LAT...LON 4051 7425 4055 7424 4057 7421 4060 7420
4064 7406 4062 7405 4059 7405 4054 7413
4050 7422
TIME...MOT...LOC 2120Z 251DEG 44KT 4051 7423
$$
SMITH
WFUS51 KOKX 162124
TOROKX
NYC047-085-162200-
/O.NEW.KOKX.TO.W.0010.100916T2124Z-100916T2200Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
524 PM EDT THU SEP 16 2010
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
KINGS (BROOKLYN) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
* UNTIL 600 PM EDT...
* AT 522 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR PORT
RICHMOND...OR NEAR TODT HILL...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.
* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
TOMPKINSVILLE AND PARK SLOPE
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW! IF YOU WAIT
TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
&&
LAT...LON 4064 7416 4066 7407 4063 7405 4067 7402
4069 7401 4070 7398 4065 7393 4063 7403
4063 7404 4062 7406 4060 7415
TIME...MOT...LOC 2124Z 258DEG 27KT 4064 7410
$$
SMITH
WFUS51 KOKX 162136
TOROKX
NYC047-081-162200-
/O.NEW.KOKX.TO.W.0011.100916T2136Z-100916T2200Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
536 PM EDT THU SEP 16 2010
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
QUEENS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
KINGS (BROOKLYN) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
* UNTIL 600 PM EDT...
* AT 534 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR CROWN
HEIGHTS...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.
* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO OZONE
PARK...FOREST HILLS...HOWARD BEACH...JAMAICA...CLEARVIEW EXPRESSWAY
AND LITTLE NECK
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW! IF YOU WAIT
TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
&&
LAT...LON 4070 7399 4078 7375 4077 7372 4075 7370
4074 7370 4073 7373 4067 7373 4065 7394
TIME...MOT...LOC 2136Z 262DEG 40KT 4067 7393
$$
SMITH
NOUS41 KOKX 171629
PNSOKX
CTZ005>012-NJZ002>006-011-NYZ067>081-180413-
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER REPORTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1228 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010
THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS
FOR THE STORM THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION. APPRECIATION IS EXTENDED
TO HIGHWAY DEPARTMENTS...COOPERATIVE OBSERVERS...SKYWARN SPOTTERS
AND MEDIA FOR THESE REPORTS. THIS SUMMARY IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR
HOME PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC
********************STORM TOTAL RAINFALL********************
LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS
RAINFALL OF
(INCHES) MEASUREMENT
CONNECTICUT
...FAIRFIELD COUNTY...
DARIEN 1.00 615 AM 9/17 COCORAHS
BRIDGEPORT 0.75 800 AM 9/17 ASOS
STEVENSON 0.66 840 AM 9/17 COCORAHS
...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
EAST HAMPTON 1.00 700 AM 9/17 COCORAHS
PORTLAND 0.70 800 AM 9/17 COCORAHS
...NEW HAVEN COUNTY...
HAMDEN 0.93 647 AM 9/17 COCORAHS
MILFORD 0.76 851 AM 9/17 COCORAHS
MERIDEN 0.60 800 AM 9/17 ASOS
NEW HAVEN/TWEED 0.55 800 AM 9/17 ASOS
...NEW LONDON COUNTY...
DOWNTOWN NORWICH 1.04 800 AM 9/17 COOP OBSERVER
GROTON/NEW LONDON 1.04 800 AM 9/17 ASOS
OAKDALE 1.01 700 AM 9/17 COCORAHS
NEW JERSEY
...BERGEN COUNTY...
RIVER VALE 1.13 700 AM 9/17 COCORAHS
MIDLAND PARK 1.10 800 AM 9/17 COOP OBSERVER
TENAFLY 0.86 630 AM 9/17 COCORAHS
GLEN ROCK 0.73 745 AM 9/17 COCORAHS
RIDGEWOOD 0.70 600 PM 9/16 SKYWARN SPOTTER
SADDLE BROOK 0.59 600 AM 9/17 COCORAHS
TETERBORO 0.50 800 AM 9/17 ASOS
...ESSEX COUNTY...
CALDWELL 0.83 800 AM 9/17 ASOS
...HUDSON COUNTY...
HARRISON 0.57 700 AM 9/17 COCORAHS
...PASSAIC COUNTY...
LITTLE FALLS 1.01 800 AM 9/17 COCORAHS
WOODLAND PARK 0.80 700 AM 9/17 COCORAHS
WAYNE 0.72 700 AM 9/17 COCORAHS
HAWTHORNE 0.70 700 AM 9/17 COCORAHS
...UNION COUNTY...
NEW PROVIDENCE 0.76 800 AM 9/17 COCORAHS
NEW YORK
...NASSAU COUNTY...
FLORAL PARK 0.84 700 AM 9/17 COCORAHS
OYSTER BAY 0.59 800 AM 9/17 COOP OBSERVER
...NEW YORK COUNTY...
NYC/CENTRAL PARK 0.51 1121 AM 9/17 ASOS
...QUEENS COUNTY...
NYC/JFK ARPT 1.07 800 AM 9/17 ASOS
...SUFFOLK COUNTY...
EAST MORICHES 2.82 945 AM 9/17 COCORAHS
BRIDGEHAMPTON 2.27 800 AM 9/17 COOP OBSERVER
MONTAUK 1.86 800 AM 9/17 ASOS
WESTHAMPTON BEACH 1.81 800 AM 9/17 ASOS
GREENPORT 1.53 800 AM 9/17 COOP OBSERVER
MATTITUCK 1.47 800 AM 9/17 COOP OBSERVER
SOUTH JAMESPORT 1.23 900 AM 9/17 COCORAHS
FIRE ISLAND 1.19 800 AM 9/17 COOP OBSERVER
GREENPORT 0.97 800 AM 9/17 COOP OBSERVER
RIVERHEAD 0.89 800 AM 9/17 COOP OBSERVER
SHIRLEY 0.87 800 AM 9/17 ASOS
FARMINGDALE 0.78 800 AM 9/17 ASOS
ISLIP 0.68 800 AM 9/17 ASOS
CENTERPORT 0.55 800 AM 9/17 COOP OBSERVER
...WESTCHESTER COUNTY...
WHITE PLAINS 1.76 800 AM 9/17 ASOS
&&
DH